Upset-Formula
0x73c21db464c767fd4e9e54b291f113e6ac354261
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-325.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 6?
324 shares @ 92.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$309.44
$9.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?
270 shares @ 92.2¢·now 91.3¢·exp May 7, 2026$246.65
$-2.23
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 7?
228 shares @ 91.1¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$204.06
$-3.67
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 6?
180 shares @ 88.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$134.10
$-24.23
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 6?
119 shares @ 90.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$102.66
$-5.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 7?
115 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$100.36
$-1.72
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 7?
56 shares @ 92.7¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$51.94
$0.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 7?
53 shares @ 88.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$45.84
$-1.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 7?
200 shares @ 6.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$38.07
$26.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on May 7?
125 shares @ 28.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$25.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 7?$1.684h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 7?$7.434h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 7?$7.654h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 7?$9.104h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 7?$5.414h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on May 7?$36.264h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 7?$102.644h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 6?$5.464h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 7?$5.974h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 7?$45.994h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 7?$12.594h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 7?$208.655h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 7?$47.295h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?$249.855h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 6?$20.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 6?$159.295h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 6?$88.275h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 6?$301.115h ago
- REDEEMHeart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to Score$402.7319h ago
- REDEEMHeart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5$620.0019h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $97.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".