Rectangular-Smoking
0x73c7c75cdf2b911ec343d76ae7330ac6a146b175
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$275.00
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
50000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$275.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Minnesota be the tipping point state?
37242 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-260.70
- YES
Will the US strike Venezuela next?
5648 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.94
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?
5000 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-230.00
- NO
Will Trump win Florida by 12+ points?
3250 shares @ 69.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.3K
- NO
Will International Business Machines (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?
1650 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
- YES
Will the US strike Nigeria next?
1387 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.32
- 49ERS
49ers vs. Seahawks
1379 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- OREGON
Oregon vs. Indiana
1356 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-540.00
- PANTHERS
Panthers vs. Hurricanes
700 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-56.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.