Gloomy-Leisure
0x73cc3934e2f5dbb36a3ad311ff071a221550088c
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-57.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Liechtenstein win on 2025-10-10?
314 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Azerbaijan win on 2025-10-10?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Luxembourg win on 2025-10-10?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
178 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-33.80
- YES
Will Georgia win on 2025-10-11?
83 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.64
- YES
Will Venezuela win on 2025-10-10?
28 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia win on 2025-10-11?$4.64Oct 11, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela win on 2025-10-10?$1.65Oct 10, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg win on 2025-10-10?$5.00Oct 10, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liechtenstein win on 2025-10-10?$9.00Oct 10, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan win on 2025-10-10?$3.00Oct 10, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$33.80Sep 30, 17:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $9.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 17:49 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 11, 15:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.