Attractive-Asymmetry
0x73cc4d56acb26d6b85b83bb1488797774cbf7154
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.77
Total PnL
$-201.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 31.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.77
$-5.43
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?
1365 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-47.93
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
260 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
- NO
Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
133 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.90
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?
121 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.50
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
113 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?$2.15Jun 27, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?$3.59Jun 27, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?$0.10Jun 27, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?$0.10Jun 27, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?$0.17Jun 27, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?$0.71Jun 27, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?$1.15Jun 27, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?$7.18Jun 23, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?$41.12Jun 23, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?$8.74Jun 18, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?$4.09Jun 16, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?$10.25Jun 16, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$17.86Jun 16, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$3.85Jun 16, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$20.00Jun 16, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?$5.12Jun 16, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$5.11Jun 16, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?$4.61Mar 7, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 1, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$10.00Mar 1, 21:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 22:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 04:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.