Calculating-Botany
0x73d0fd8b33ff4a6a668bedcd846c4d2a4bd36972
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$326.10
Total PnL
$-434.18
Realised
$10.06
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 23?
101 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$101.16
$32.34
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 23?
43 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$42.98
$0.51
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or below on July 23?
37 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$37.42
$1.39
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on July 23?
35 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$34.98
$1.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 23?
30 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$29.89
$0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 23?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$23.31
$2.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 23?
20 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$19.99
$6.59
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 23?
15 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$14.99
$2.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 23?
15 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$14.99
$4.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.4¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$4.69
$0.29
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on July 23?$3.69Jul 23, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on July 23?$62.94Jul 23, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on July 23?$66.50Jul 23, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 23?$4.44Jul 23, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on July 23?$5.00Jul 23, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on July 23?$96.58Jul 23, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on July 23?$4.99Jul 23, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on July 23?$96.22Jul 23, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 23?$0.29Jul 23, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 23?$0.26Jul 23, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 23?$11.95Jul 23, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 23?$60.12Jul 23, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 23?$11.96Jul 23, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 23?$11.96Jul 23, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 23?$20.04Jul 23, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 23?$0.43Jul 23, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 23?$11.94Jul 23, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 23?$11.94Jul 23, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 23?$20.00Jul 23, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 23?$1.68Jul 23, 15:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $15.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 12:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 18:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.