Unsightly-Jury
0x73d16a93519b07f137050d77b3ac26b41d19e65a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-91.95
Win rate
0%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
5481 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
2000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1101 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-192.25
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
417 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
303 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
301 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
284 shares @ 52.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
196 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
189 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$51.57Jul 6, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$51.78Jul 6, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$51.43Jul 6, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$100.30Jul 6, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$69.53Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$51.76Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$97.65Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$36.14Jul 6, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$51.71Jul 6, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$51.61Jul 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$154.96Jul 5, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$178.57Jul 5, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$104.17Jul 5, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$103.08Jul 5, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$102.28Jul 5, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$51.82Jul 5, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-07-03?$144.93Jul 4, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$103.50Jul 3, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$67.72Jul 3, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$36.40Jul 3, 22:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 41 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
41 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $71.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 03:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 21:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.