Spiffy-Vellum
0x73d56fc600f5a64db30a6880adfda8381bab4aea
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$8.67
Total PnL
$-11.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.45
$2.45
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- NO
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- NO
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
104 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- THUNDER
Thunder vs. Pistons
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Pistons$1.00Feb 25, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMMen's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia$1.14Feb 25, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$0.00Feb 25, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 22, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 22, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 22, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Feb 20, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1.47Feb 20, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$0.00Feb 20, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$1.00Feb 20, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Feb 20, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$0.00Feb 20, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.00Feb 20, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Grizzlies$1.00Feb 20, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$2.99Feb 20, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia$1.00Feb 20, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 17:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.