Mushy-Generation
0x73d7099e4079bdd9c5f5ab0c05758e2de4aa11b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-320.61
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
7284 shares @ 21.7¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-527.32
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 22.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$115.00
$-113.00
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
600 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$81.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
1951 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$30.24
$-8.71
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
642 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.31
$-2.69
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
2886 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-111.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
800 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-119.90
- YES
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?
797 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?
443 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
401 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.18
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$60.00Jul 29, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLCuban regime falls in 2026?$62.25Jul 29, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLCuban regime falls in 2026?$32.50Jul 29, 09:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$2.60Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$2.58Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$18.44Jul 27, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$4.90Jul 27, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$11.32Jul 27, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$12.00Jul 27, 09:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$79.18Jul 21, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$34.75Jul 21, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$50.00Jul 21, 14:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $36.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 12:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 14:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.