0x73dad3a22196ea392c1638ac8d3751e7bdf44ef2
0x73dad3a22196ea392c1638ac8d3751e7bdf44ef2
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
78
Open notional
$105.04
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-9.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
355 shares @ 15.8¢·now 12.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$44.17
$-12.02
- YES
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?
601 shares @ 8.7¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$36.36
$-16.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?
196 shares @ 16.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$24.50
$-6.78
- NO
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score
22240 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-22.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12?
3531 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-32.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
3103 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-31.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
1910 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-19.10
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1855 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.13
- YES
Will Solana reach $100 in June?
987 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-26.66
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
882 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.12
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$33.97Jul 24, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$131.66Jul 24, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$142.29Jul 24, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$22.65Jul 24, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$34.07Jul 24, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$45.37Jul 24, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$34.12Jul 24, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$34.05Jul 24, 14:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$33.59Jul 23, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$34.14Jul 23, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$34.08Jul 23, 04:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$22.61Jul 22, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $33.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 20:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.