Fatal-Metro
0x73ddcc065dfb7b2b7cfe4cabe134011658291f06
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$31.09
Total PnL
$-312.66
Realised
$0.06
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- NO
Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
6 shares @ 93.2¢·now 92.8¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$5.57
$-0.02
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$5.07
$0.08
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?
5 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$4.82
$0.06
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.70
$0.11
- NO
Iran leadership change by August 15?
4 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$4.25
$0.05
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?
4 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$4.15
$0.14
- NO
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?
6 shares @ 38.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$2.16
$0.03
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 6.7¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.37
$-4.28
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or below on June 17?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on June 16?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?$2.13Aug 8, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$5.61Aug 8, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by August 15?$4.20Aug 8, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?$2.17Aug 7, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?$4.98Aug 7, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?$2.29Aug 7, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?$4.76Aug 7, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?$6.08Aug 7, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?$6.74Aug 5, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?$4.65Aug 4, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?$6.52Aug 2, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?$5.79Aug 2, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on August 1?$1.60Aug 1, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?$5.60Aug 1, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLTotal Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?$4.49Aug 1, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$12.58Aug 1, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?$4.01Aug 1, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$4.49Aug 1, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?$4.71Aug 1, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$6.04Aug 1, 04:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 01:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.