Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-115.42

Realised

$2.44

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 15

UP
XRP Up or Down - December 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
147 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025
$0.00
$-15.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
33 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
31 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
25 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025
$0.00
$-6.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
24 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
22 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025
$0.00
$-8.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
22 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025
$0.00
$-6.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$10.00Dec 28, 16:07 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Dec 28, 15:56 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$5.00Dec 28, 15:54 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$16.59Dec 28, 15:51 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$12.25Dec 28, 15:51 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$10.00Dec 28, 15:49 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$10.00Dec 28, 15:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$10.00Dec 28, 15:46 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Dec 28, 15:46 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$7.56Dec 28, 15:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$7.88Dec 28, 15:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$10.00Dec 28, 15:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$5.00Dec 24, 11:42 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$7.00Dec 23, 18:29 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$2.87Dec 23, 18:29 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$10.00Dec 23, 10:36 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$15.63Dec 23, 10:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$10.00Dec 23, 10:20 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$18.78Dec 23, 10:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$11.00Dec 23, 10:10 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry60 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk49 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 43
Avg trade size: $13.02
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 20, 08:38 UTC
Last active: Dec 28, 16:07 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 09:11:09 UTC·src:Polymarket Data