Every-Liability
0x73dfdb58dddfe59d364f41c75619ab738395c515
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
163
Open notional
$78.45
Total PnL
$-208.59
Realised
$8.88
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 163- NO
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?
50 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 30, 2026$47.23
$-0.27
- NO
Will Kai or Speed die to a phantom?
20 shares @ 92.0¢·now 81.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$16.23
$-2.17
- NO
Will Berserker Penta in LCS Split 3 2026?
20 shares @ 91.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.00
$-3.20
- NO
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- NO
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?
50 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will Benjamin Silverman finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?
50 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- NO
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
50 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- NO
Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Rick Brattin be the MO-05 Republican nominee?
50 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?$1.43Aug 9, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?$2.20Aug 9, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$46.73Aug 9, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "72 Hours" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$0.57Aug 9, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?$0.53Aug 9, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "72 Hours" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$1.00Aug 9, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMRussia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 15, 2026?$20.00Aug 9, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?$47.50Aug 9, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$10.41Aug 9, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$0.98Aug 9, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$36.11Aug 9, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?$0.55Aug 9, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 15, 2026?$18.36Aug 9, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 8?$0.19Aug 9, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?$10.36Aug 9, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 8?$0.30Aug 9, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?$10.45Aug 9, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 8?$0.10Aug 9, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLReserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?$0.17Aug 9, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia win the next Amur Oblast Parliament elections?$0.04Aug 9, 00:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
30% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 13:57 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 08:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.