Spanish-Burial-Sake
0x73e2492d97df3e23ee4005507b7e42409a14342e
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.05
Total PnL
$-24.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
69 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.83
$-1.17
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.22
$-1.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?
1550 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?
109 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- SABRES
Canadiens vs. Sabres
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
- DOWN
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- PISTONS
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
4 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
- OVER
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$2.00Jun 22, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jun 22, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.00Jun 18, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$2.00May 26, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.00May 26, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$2.10May 26, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$2.51May 18, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5$2.02May 18, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$1.64May 18, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?$2.01May 14, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$2.59May 13, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 12?$5.56May 13, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score$1.42May 13, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?$1.50May 13, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?$2.01May 12, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 12?$2.96May 12, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 12?$1.66May 12, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers$2.10May 12, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5$4.13May 12, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Cavaliers$3.32May 12, 03:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $2.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 18:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 22:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.