Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-95.68

Realised

$-31.00

Win rate

7 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 25

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
464 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-4.64
YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
417 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
69 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-9.38
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
46 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026
$0.00
$-0.93
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
43 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026
$0.00
$-2.80
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
31 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-4.69
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
29 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-14.47
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
28 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026
$0.00
$-1.87
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
19 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026
$0.00
$-0.93
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
18 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026
$0.00
$-2.82

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.15Apr 29, 12:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Apr 27, 20:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Apr 27, 20:43 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.02Apr 27, 20:42 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.00Apr 25, 18:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.00Apr 25, 18:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 14:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 14:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 14:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 14:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.00Apr 22, 19:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.00Apr 22, 19:29 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$9.46Apr 22, 14:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$5.00Apr 22, 14:53 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.30Apr 22, 14:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.00Apr 22, 14:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.00Apr 22, 14:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.00Apr 22, 14:45 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$6.72Apr 22, 14:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$5.00Apr 22, 14:38 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence23 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry36 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk44 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 37
Avg trade size: $2.23
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 17, 09:57 UTC
Last active: Apr 29, 12:13 UTC
Win rate sample: 7 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 13:08:47 UTC·src:Polymarket Data