0x73e2b8baa781dc2b959f6df7857ca7f716f3d6be
0x73e2b8baa781dc2b959f6df7857ca7f716f3d6be
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-95.68
Realised
$-31.00
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
464 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
417 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
69 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
46 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
43 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
31 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
29 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-14.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
28 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
19 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
18 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.82
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.15Apr 29, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Apr 27, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Apr 27, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.02Apr 27, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.00Apr 25, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.00Apr 25, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.00Apr 22, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.00Apr 22, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$9.46Apr 22, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$5.00Apr 22, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.30Apr 22, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.00Apr 22, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.00Apr 22, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.00Apr 22, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$6.72Apr 22, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$5.00Apr 22, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 09:57 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 12:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.