Quirky-Existence
0x73e6300d8e095876ae50e0e71181f026e6dd9e49
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
27776 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?
18479 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?
14095 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
5337 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
5306 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-39.99
- YES
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
2947 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.78
- YES
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
1720 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
826 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
705 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10?
579 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Darius Acuff Jr. be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$6.98Jun 23, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darius Acuff Jr. be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$4.12Jun 22, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darius Acuff Jr. be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$30.87Jun 22, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darius Acuff Jr. be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$18.53Jun 22, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darius Acuff Jr. be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$4.12Jun 22, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$2.7KDec 20, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$252.44Dec 19, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Knicks$156.52Dec 16, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$40.00Dec 16, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$40.00Dec 16, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$40.00Dec 16, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$40.00Dec 16, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$20.00Dec 16, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$20.00Dec 16, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$20.00Dec 16, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$20.00Dec 16, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$20.00Dec 16, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$20.00Dec 16, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$5.00Dec 16, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$5.00Dec 16, 06:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $126.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 20:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 06:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.