Each-Palm
0x73e6d42a14fb328e493ff3e46ebdbff2a9b01e52
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$7.94
Total PnL
$-369.85
Realised
$26.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$7.94
$2.94
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
1234 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
927 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-66.00
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
309 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- YES
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
204 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by March 31?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
119 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?
106 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iraq next?
102 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$20.24Jun 7, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$20.00Jun 7, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 24?$2.00May 24, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$10.00May 24, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$29.36May 24, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 24?$5.00May 23, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 24?$5.00May 23, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$5.13May 23, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$10.00May 22, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$5.00May 22, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 24?$10.00May 22, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$10.00May 22, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$20.00May 22, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 24?$10.00May 22, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$2.00May 22, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 24?$3.00May 22, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$10.00May 22, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$5.00May 22, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 24?$1.00May 22, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$10.00May 21, 12:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 18:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 19:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.