Smug-Guard
0x73ed0b28e4744171717264fb5f77b156f49cde02
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Erling Haaland score another goal?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
1427 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-318.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27?
1087 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon apologize to Trump before August?
1073 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-153.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
940 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Israel military action against Iran in July?
486 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
326 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?
325 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- 100K
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
322 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$95.00Jul 26, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$88.41Jul 26, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?$7.01Jul 20, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon apologize to Trump before August?$153.00Jul 6, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$100.00Jul 6, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iran in July?$100.00Jul 6, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$353.00Jul 4, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?$7.00Jun 29, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$100.00Jun 28, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$100.00Jun 28, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$150.00Jun 27, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July?$50.00Jun 26, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?$100.00Jun 26, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran before July?$50.00Jun 26, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11? $100.00Jun 26, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27? $100.00Jun 26, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$50.00Jun 26, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$38.00Jun 26, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$20.00Jun 26, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFIFA Club World Cup: Will Erling Haaland score another goal?$10.00Jun 26, 20:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $86.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 14:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".