Tall-Manner
0x73ee03e69aff55ef0d113ee531ff6f01c77beea9
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
176
Open notional
$319.84
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-45.51
Win rate
61%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 176- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 22?
220 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$219.89
$0.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 22?
100 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$99.95
$5.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 21?
390 shares @ 96.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-377.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 21?
263 shares @ 56.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-149.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 29?
160 shares @ 85.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-136.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 26?
149 shares @ 64.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-96.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 3?
140 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 19?
106 shares @ 92.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-98.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 25?
105 shares @ 94.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-99.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 1?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 21?$35.77Jul 21, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 21?$320.00Jul 21, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 22?$47.86Jul 21, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 22?$218.95Jul 21, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 22?$47.14Jul 21, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 21?$5.68Jul 21, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 21?$34.92Jul 21, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 21?$4.97Jul 21, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 21?$0.01Jul 21, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 21?$0.06Jul 21, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 21?$0.08Jul 21, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 21?$4.75Jul 21, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 21?$15.49Jul 21, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 21?$4.78Jul 21, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 21?$4.35Jul 21, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 21?$14.98Jul 21, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 21?$4.35Jul 21, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 21?$6.31Jul 21, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 21?$3.42Jul 21, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 21?$59.94Jul 21, 09:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
61% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $22.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 08:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 22:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.