Intent-Ego
0x73f2066a19ffcf8c3de4acf896dd420fe419d7d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$13.22
Total PnL
$-351.51
Realised
$-13.87
Win rate
0%
191 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 13?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$7.46
$2.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 13?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$3.04
$0.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 13?
4 shares @ 68.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$2.71
$0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 13?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.01
$-5.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 15?
359 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 15?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 13?$7.81Aug 13, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 13?$8.14Aug 13, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 13?$5.33Aug 12, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on August 13?$1.32Aug 12, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 13?$5.31Aug 12, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 13?$2.65Aug 12, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 13?$2.66Aug 12, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 13?$5.31Aug 12, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 13?$5.29Aug 12, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 11?$0.00Aug 12, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 11?$5.70Aug 12, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 11?$8.91Aug 11, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 11?$11.87Aug 11, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 11?$3.16Aug 11, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 11?$6.23Aug 10, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 11?$3.15Aug 10, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 11?$3.13Aug 10, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 11?$3.14Aug 10, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 11?$6.30Aug 10, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 11?$6.30Aug 10, 23:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 191 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
191 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 13:50 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 10:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 191 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.