Firm-Mug
0x73f54f2ce354f4a1212233f7b61eab8cfa233e36
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-500.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will a Republican win Nebraska Presidential Election?
1230 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
607 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-245.11
- NO
Will a Republican win Montana Presidential Election?
247 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
243 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 3.0-4.0%?
209 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
102 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump win no swing states?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump win 1 swing state?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.11Nov 6, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 5, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Nebraska US Senate Election?$4.20Nov 5, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.00Nov 5, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Montana Presidential Election?$4.20Nov 5, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 5, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Ohio Presidential Election?$8.00Nov 5, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.00Nov 5, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$15.00Nov 5, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris blowout victory?$5.00Nov 5, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$125.00Nov 5, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.00Nov 5, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?$15.00Nov 5, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?$5.00Nov 5, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 1 swing state?$10.00Nov 5, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win no swing states?$10.00Nov 5, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.00Nov 5, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 5, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 3.0-4.0%? $10.00Nov 5, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?$15.00Nov 5, 03:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $20.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 19:16 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 04:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".