Hasty-Capitulation
0x740297329d8f3b86ae3943362f9ed87d29a3a603
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$3.06
Total PnL
$-51.38
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.10
$-0.00
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on December 25?
5326 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.33
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 18?
5323 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.32
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on March 28?
1089 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 11?
1087 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 17?
1084 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 21?
1081 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 26?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 30?
1079 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.36Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $50 on June 3?$2.11Jun 4, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on June 2?$2.11Jun 3, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 26?$2.16May 27, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 18?$3.21May 18, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 11?$2.13May 11, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 7?$1.1KMay 8, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 7?$1.1KMay 8, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 7?$1.1KMay 7, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 7?$1.1KMay 7, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?$1.1KMay 7, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?$1.1KMay 7, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?$1.1KMay 6, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?$1.1KMay 6, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 5?$1.1KMay 6, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 5?$1.1KMay 6, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 5?$1.1KMay 5, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 5?$1.1KMay 5, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 4?$1.1KMay 5, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 4?$1.1KMay 5, 00:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $507.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".