Bold-Garbage
0x7404ecdb9fe77417b28af90d6d874442b3b82053
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$17.07
Total PnL
$-29.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
19 shares @ 79.0¢·now 89.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$17.07
$2.07
- YES
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
600 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or below on May 28?
120 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will Yashasvi Jaiswal win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?
102 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
100 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
50 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on May 27?
35 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?
35 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
- NO
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?
4 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "The Balusters" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?$0.08Jun 1, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Balusters" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?$1.70May 31, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?$4.00May 28, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$10.50May 28, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or below on May 28?$0.99May 27, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$0.23May 27, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$5.26May 27, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$5.02May 27, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or below on May 28?$0.10May 27, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?$2.36May 27, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$1.45May 27, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?$0.68May 27, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?$0.65May 27, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on May 27?$1.09May 27, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Balusters" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?$0.35May 27, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Balusters" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?$0.14May 27, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yashasvi Jaiswal win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?$0.99May 27, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yashasvi Jaiswal win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?$0.06May 27, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.97May 27, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$2.54May 27, 20:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $3.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 22:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.