Imperturbable-Stamina
0x740dddc54228e7a270527cb28c9ca8b8ef232362
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-210.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election by less than 10%?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?
48 shares @ 39.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-18.99
- NO
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election by less than 10%?
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5
33 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-14.98
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 3?
29 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-17.46
- NO
Will Ryan Gerard finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?
29 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.95
- NO
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?
27 shares @ 73.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-19.78
- NO
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5
25 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-11.98
- NO
Will Alex Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?
24 shares @ 52.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-12.56
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4?
20 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$16.12Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.04Jun 12, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.15Jun 12, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.16Jun 12, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$0.57Jun 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$1.00Jun 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?$0.99Jun 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by June 30?$0.90Jun 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$2.12Jun 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?$0.87Jun 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.54Jun 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?$5.10Jun 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?$9.20Jun 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$22.00Jun 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$29.65Jun 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$45.04Jun 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?$62.00Jun 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$58.23Jun 12, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?$1.18Jun 12, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$22.00Jun 12, 21:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $14.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 15:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.