Cheap-Cardboard
0x7410999d2e95fef502b4d9be0304f6cedf2a6dcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-77.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Nepali Congress (NC) win between 110 and 119 seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?
162 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.92
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
125 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 23?
119 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on January 20?
117 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.39
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on March 4?
104 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.77
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 24?
97 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.87
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 29?
96 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 31?
91 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 27?
88 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.65
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 29?
86 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 July 13-19?$194.86Jul 20, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 July 13-19?$192.52Jul 19, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 5?$1.52Jul 5, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 5?$174.96Jun 5, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 5?$0.67Jun 4, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 5?$173.07Jun 4, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $8 in May?$1.67May 31, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?$199.46May 28, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?$198.06May 27, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?$168.42May 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?$0.42May 19, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?$166.32May 19, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 10?$1.55May 9, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 11?$34.75May 9, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 28?$1.98Apr 28, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 19?$172.30Apr 28, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 19?$169.54Apr 19, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.40 on March 31?$178.18Apr 19, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$4.53Apr 12, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 11?$31.62Apr 11, 06:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $59.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 04:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.