Knowing-Buy
0x7416da0600c213c7b0b7dbd4dfe7a4f3ec73082b
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$66.40
Total PnL
$-34.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on May 1?
8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 1, 2026$7.67
$4.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 1?
6 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 1, 2026$6.01
$0.01
- NO
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
5 shares @ 93.8¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 3, 2026$5.15
$0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 1?
4 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$4.28
$1.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 2?
4 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 2, 2026$4.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on May 2?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 2, 2026$3.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on May 2?
4 shares @ 67.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$3.56
$0.56
- NO
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
3 shares @ 86.5¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$3.15
$0.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 2?
6 shares @ 52.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$3.09
$0.09
- NO
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
3 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$3.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 1?$2.102m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 1?$2.102m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 1?$2.102m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 1?$2.102m ago
- REDEEMWill NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?$2.024h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 30?$6.036h ago
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on April 30?$0.006h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on April 30?$2.016h ago
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on April 30?$2.046h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 69°F or below on April 30?$4.126h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?$1.0014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?$1.0514h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?$1.0515h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on April 30?$2.1116h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 73°F or below on April 30?$1.0420h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on April 30?$2.0022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$1.5123h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$2.0023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on May 1?$1.0023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on May 1?$1.0523h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 2m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".