Weak-Statistics
0x741c32404bda9a410bc6430334b3c0e73756936e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-80.46
Win rate
0%
194 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
395 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
298 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- YES
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
109 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
92 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
91 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
90 shares @ 49.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
89 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
89 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-43.70
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
88 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$12.50Aug 15, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$6.22Aug 15, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$3.11Aug 15, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$1.04Aug 15, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$2.13Aug 14, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$1.04Aug 14, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$12.00Aug 14, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$6.21Aug 14, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$3.11Aug 14, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.03Aug 14, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$13.33Aug 14, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$6.23Aug 14, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$3.11Aug 14, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$2.04Aug 14, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.04Aug 14, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$2.00Aug 14, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$2.00Aug 14, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 12:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
67/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 194 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
194 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 01:40 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 08:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 194 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.