Shiny-Elevator
0x741f6623a4b611179efebf72298f8a28e84036d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$599.73
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
408827 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-408.83
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
287263 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-459.05
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
84865 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-84.87
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 30?
21644 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-21.64
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 9?
20000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 2?
16725 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-65.46
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
11195 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-149.65
- NO
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 10?
10000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-159.98
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
9831 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-82.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$50.00Dec 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$1.00Dec 13, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$0.06Dec 13, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$10.36Dec 13, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$10.00Dec 13, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$20.99Dec 13, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$27.00Dec 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$2.00Dec 13, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$1.00Dec 13, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$1.09Dec 13, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$11.00Dec 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$0.11Dec 13, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$1.00Dec 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$1.00Dec 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$0.01Dec 12, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$1.00Dec 12, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$0.00Dec 12, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$0.36Dec 12, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$5.23Dec 12, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$0.00Dec 12, 17:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 01:29 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 13, 17:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".