Modern-Dill
0x744f0ae7cb935a7b8b4b86a17082a2ef2a82375a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$79.43
Total PnL
$-4.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
28 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$28.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
17 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$17.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
16 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$15.63
$0.63
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
13 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$13.29
$0.29
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?
5 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$5.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- FALCONS
Falcons vs. Colts
15 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$28.00Nov 13, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$12.50Nov 13, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 10?$20.04Nov 13, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 10?$20.00Nov 10, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMRavens vs. Vikings$13.85Nov 10, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?$5.00Nov 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$15.00Nov 8, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$12.00Nov 8, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb reach $168 in November?$17.00Nov 7, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by November 30?$2.00Nov 6, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$13.00Nov 6, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFalcons vs. Colts$4.00Nov 5, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYRavens vs. Vikings$9.00Nov 5, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.13Nov 5, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$17.13Nov 5, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$17.00Nov 3, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.00Oct 31, 22:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $12.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 01:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.