Repulsive-Carnival
0x745830b7902f133c8ea9507da0223a2f233ffa86
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$306.67
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$-117.93
Win rate
25%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
307 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$306.67
$76.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 15?
5315 shares @ 65.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on February 17?
692 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 17?
680 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
456 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-296.12
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
443 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 17?
428 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-85.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 15?
409 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-72.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
361 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-130.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$6.29Mar 3, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$1.00Mar 3, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$1.00Mar 3, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$2.90Mar 3, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$10.80Mar 3, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?$355.54Mar 1, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.54Mar 1, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.8KFeb 28, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.9KFeb 28, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$41.81Feb 28, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.9KFeb 28, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.8KFeb 28, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$685.58Feb 28, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$152.38Feb 28, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$986.04Feb 28, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.8KFeb 28, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.8KFeb 28, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.5KFeb 28, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.12Feb 28, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$24.47Feb 28, 19:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $476.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 12:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 18:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".