0x745efdd54014e0767d33789b5be0f5a57faeb1cc
0x745efdd54014e0767d33789b5be0f5a57faeb1cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
77
Open notional
$24.75
Total PnL
$-163.58
Realised
$-1.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.50
$5.50
- YES
Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPalermo: Tamara Zidansek vs Alevtina Ibragimova$1.02Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBloomfield Hills: Spencer Johnson vs Coleman Wong$1.18Jul 21, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLPalermo: Alice Rame vs Anastasia Tikhonova$1.34Jul 21, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBloomfield Hills: Spencer Johnson vs Coleman Wong$1.02Jul 21, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalermo: Alice Rame vs Anastasia Tikhonova$1.02Jul 21, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLZug: Cezar Cretu vs Anton Matusevich$1.22Jul 21, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLHamburg European Open: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Veronika Erjavec$1.40Jul 21, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYZug: Cezar Cretu vs Anton Matusevich$1.02Jul 21, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLLivesport Prague Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich$1.42Jul 21, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Veronika Erjavec$1.02Jul 21, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLLivesport Prague Open: Diane Parry vs Mai Hontama$0.64Jul 21, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLivesport Prague Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich$1.03Jul 21, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLHamburg European Open: Elena Pridankina vs Panna Udvardy$1.30Jul 21, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLivesport Prague Open: Diane Parry vs Mai Hontama$1.03Jul 21, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Elena Pridankina vs Panna Udvardy$1.02Jul 21, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$2.00Jul 21, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$1.04Jul 21, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$1.04Jul 21, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLLivesport Prague Open: Alycia Parks vs Lucie Havlickova$1.83Jul 20, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYLivesport Prague Open: Alycia Parks vs Lucie Havlickova$1.03Jul 20, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 10:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.