Defensive-Circumstance
0x74604b3c8a47d9a5b8f613625f2bac9bd3c4985d
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$11.67
Total PnL
$-243.83
Realised
$-5.30
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
117 shares @ 8.5¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.44
$-3.56
- YES
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
85 shares @ 5.9¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.06
$-3.94
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.18
$-4.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
538 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
493 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half$5.13Jun 13, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?$47.22Jun 13, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay?$0.06Jun 13, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay?$0.08Jun 13, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?$20.49Jun 13, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score$10.19Jun 12, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$5.15Jun 12, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay?$1.03Jun 12, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay?$5.14Jun 12, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score$13.63Jun 12, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 12, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score$10.23Jun 12, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score$5.08Jun 12, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$5.14Jun 12, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$7.27Jun 12, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.11Jun 12, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$10.00Jun 12, 12:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $12.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 17:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.