Hefty-Lyre
0x74609305d3c48b4376bd0d0a7bec000daf1d92cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$9.62
Total PnL
$-22.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$9.62
$4.62
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
1429 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?
58 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS forces in Iran in 2025?$0.00Mar 1, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Iran in 2025?$1.00Aug 8, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$5.00Aug 8, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Yemen by August 15?$5.00Aug 8, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?$1.00Jul 21, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$1.00Jul 21, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$20.00Jun 23, 18:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $5.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 18:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 07:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".