Crafty-Polenta
0x746178d8eb9d1d07f301e654e783bc96986e070f
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$19.94
Total PnL
$-67.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
199 shares @ 12.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.94
$-3.99
- NO
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
2667 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Fed rate cut in 2025?
341 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Lebron announce he is returning to Cavaliers Tuesday?
197 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the UK state banquet on September 17?
107 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Trump out as President in 2025?
47 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
31 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$23.93Jan 5, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$23.15Dec 15, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$2.00Oct 14, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Jesus" in October?$5.00Oct 14, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$4.00Oct 14, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$3.00Oct 13, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?$10.00Oct 7, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebron announce he is returning to Cavaliers Tuesday? $2.00Oct 7, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebron announce he is returning to Cavaliers Tuesday? $1.00Oct 7, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced by September 30?$14.93Oct 1, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 10+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?$12.85Sep 22, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 10+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?$5.27Sep 19, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Turning Point" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?$5.00Sep 19, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "China" 5+ times during the Fox News interview on September 18?$0.00Sep 19, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "China" 5+ times during the Fox News interview on September 18?$0.00Sep 19, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$5.00Sep 19, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "China" 5+ times during the Fox News interview on September 18?$14.29Sep 19, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" 5+ times during the Fox News interview on September 18?$5.00Sep 18, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tremendous" during the Fox News interview on September 18?$5.00Sep 18, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?$1.00Sep 18, 16:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $5.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 17, 11:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 5, 08:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".