Tan-Fraudster
0x7463026a96695da14e660e7b841976b081e8d2a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$49.40
Total PnL
$-7.2K
Realised
$-1.6K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 68.7¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.18
$6.22
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 65.6¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.97
$1.96
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
6 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.86
$0.10
- YES
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.24
$0.24
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.97
$0.02
- NO
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.18
$0.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
6196 shares @ 90.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.6K
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
33 shares @ 93.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-30.55
- NO
Will London have less than 5mm of precipitation in May?
3 shares @ 99.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
$5.6K · 52% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $821.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 03:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.