Wavy-Spork
0x746b39a40c5d00ddd2842855f6d47ee6c5f713be
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$243.02
Total PnL
$-198.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
124 shares @ 35.5¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$76.10
$32.10
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
326 shares @ 7.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$54.44
$31.44
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
182 shares @ 17.1¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.98
$18.98
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
300 shares @ 2.9¢·now 5.6¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$16.82
$8.02
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
70 shares @ 22.9¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.55
$-4.45
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
53 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.74
$-0.26
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
83 shares @ 13.2¢·now 8.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$7.08
$-3.92
- YES
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?
60 shares @ 20.3¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.40
$-6.80
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
106 shares @ 7.6¢·now 3.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.85
$-4.15
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Military" during Tribute to America Rally?$2.07Jul 5, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?$0.60Jul 3, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?$9.40Jul 3, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?$2.20Jul 3, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$1.05Jul 2, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$1.05Jul 2, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$9.22Jul 2, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?$11.00Jul 2, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?$6.00Jul 2, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?$3.00Jul 2, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 2, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$18.00Jul 1, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$5.00Jul 1, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$77.03Jul 1, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$89.90Jul 1, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$9.30Jul 1, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$7.93Jul 1, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$2.27Jul 1, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$10.20Jul 1, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$10.80Jul 1, 19:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $14.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 15:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 03:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.