Fearful-Dioxide
0x746e8f35004fa70269561cad4b4d1cfbcb439c23
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.83
Total PnL
$-93.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.83
$-4.17
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
2937 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
2546 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
604 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
420 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Scream 7" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
269 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
239 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
140 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?
139 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
116 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Scream 7" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$4.00Feb 27, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 31?$5.00Feb 27, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYParamount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?$5.00Feb 27, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$5.00Feb 27, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$5.00Feb 27, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$5.00Feb 27, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$10.00Feb 27, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$10.00Feb 27, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$10.00Feb 27, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$10.00Feb 27, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $5.00Feb 27, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$10.00Feb 27, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 27, 12:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $7.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 12:20 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 12:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.