Classic-Labour
0x74715e529168b8d466a01eaebd5f6476faffcdac
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$512.87
Total PnL
$-638.39
Realised
$-4.18
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
122 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$121.53
$1.53
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
99 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$99.08
$2.25
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
48 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$47.49
$0.03
- NO
Trump out as President by July 31?
42 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$42.19
$0.19
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
44 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$41.63
$0.63
- NO
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$39.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 99.6¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$39.08
$-0.92
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
27 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$26.64
$0.27
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
18 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$18.19
$0.08
- YES
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
21 shares @ 49.7¢·now 49.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.32
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.00Jul 12, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? $1.00Jul 12, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? $3.95Jul 12, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$15.54Jul 12, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)$27.24Jul 12, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)$8.13Jul 12, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)$16.27Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)$15.41Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)$8.42Jul 11, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$1.83Jul 11, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$1.96Jul 11, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$1.61Jul 11, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$1.61Jul 10, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$13.04Jul 10, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$15.04Jul 10, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)$1.99Jul 10, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)$6.77Jul 10, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)$3.39Jul 10, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$11.84Jul 10, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)$1.49Jul 10, 02:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $11.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 04:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 12:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.