Hard-To-Find-Bribery
0x747824e3901a25be5dfe71f55e8b98d5585c6562
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-225.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Qatar vs. Zimbabwe end in a draw?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
1653 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
1329 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
1201 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Netherlands vs. Lithuania end in a draw?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
132 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
104 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-12-07?
100 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?
91 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-45.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?$45.63Dec 8, 23:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?$15.63Dec 7, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamburger SV vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?$9.38Dec 7, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-07?$2.38Dec 7, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-07?$10.00Dec 7, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-12-07?$10.00Dec 7, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-06?$18.16Dec 6, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamburger SV vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?$10.00Dec 6, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-12-07?$10.00Dec 6, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-06?$10.00Dec 6, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-06?$10.00Dec 6, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06?$10.00Dec 6, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?$10.00Dec 6, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-06?$10.00Dec 6, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfL Wolfsburg vs. Union Berlin end in a draw?$10.00Dec 6, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?$10.00Dec 2, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-11-29?$58.76Nov 29, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-11-29?$10.00Nov 29, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?$40.00Nov 29, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?$10.00Nov 25, 22:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $12.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 10:14 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 23:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".