Zealous-Nation
0x74786129a08bb17b000671bee52fea9850910297
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-54.10
Realised
$8.78
Win rate
30%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- YES
Will the price of Glove Index be above $255 on January 20?
792 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?
710 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.42
- YES
Will Kevin Stefanski join the Tennessee Titans prior to April 23, 2026?
667 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- PARIS GENTLE MATES
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Paris Gentle Mates - Game 2 Winner
541 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will FC Südtirol vs. Calcio Padova end in a draw?
488 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- YES
Will SV Darmstadt 98 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?
408 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will the price of Glove Index be above $260 on January 20?
400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will the price of Knife Index be above $200 on January 20?
392 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.78
- YES
Will the price of Glove Index be above $250 on January 20?
392 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.78
- YES
Will the price of Knife Index be above $195 on January 20?
392 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Missouri win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.01Mar 16, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 15?$0.08Mar 14, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCherbourg: Murphy Cassone vs Pavel Kotov$0.38Mar 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCherbourg: Murphy Cassone vs Pavel Kotov$0.18Mar 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCherbourg: Murphy Cassone vs Pavel Kotov$0.43Mar 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCherbourg: Murphy Cassone vs Pavel Kotov$0.16Mar 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$0.48Mar 13, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$0.42Mar 13, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.04Mar 13, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.09Mar 13, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.08Mar 13, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLPhoenix: Benjamin Bonzi vs Leandro Riedi$0.10Mar 12, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhoenix: Benjamin Bonzi vs Leandro Riedi$0.19Mar 12, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?$0.12Mar 12, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.91Mar 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 9 above $400?$0.95Mar 12, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?$0.11Mar 12, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?$0.32Mar 12, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?$0.00Mar 12, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends on March 23, 2026?$0.30Mar 12, 16:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
30% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 21/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 00:47 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 16:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.