Forthright-Disparity
0x747eca6caa5072dc8cbbf23dc8520daee9c3dd31
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.27
Total PnL
$-29.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.03
$-1.97
- YES
Will 'Kingdom Come: Deliverance II' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
3408 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
1668 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
1440 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will any game win 2 awards at the Steam Awards?
890 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$2.00Jan 3, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?$1.00Jan 3, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$1.00Jan 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any game win 2 awards at the Steam Awards?$1.00Jan 3, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$1.00Jan 3, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$1.44Jan 3, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$2.00Jan 3, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Kingdom Come: Deliverance II' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$5.00Jan 3, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?$1.50Jan 3, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$3.85Jan 3, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.37Jan 3, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?$1.00Jan 3, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Jan 3, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.79Jan 3, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 3, 18:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 18:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 20:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".