Well-Off-Confusion
0x74822919ad27954f1e49d60a1e9440eafacd6083
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-387.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
206 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2025$0.00
$-90.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25?
132 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-69.59
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
126 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-65.54
- NO
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?
126 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2025$0.00
$-41.46
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on April 28?
115 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-58.94
- NO
Dogecoin above $0.34 on January 17?
82 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2025$0.00
$-39.32
- NO
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?
45 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-22.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMWarriors vs. Pelicans$97.77Feb 25, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Pelicans$45.95Feb 24, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. 76ers$103.43Jan 21, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. 76ers$52.75Jan 21, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$18.77Dec 20, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$20.90Dec 14, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$69.37Nov 29, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$65.34Nov 24, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMBoxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford $45.28Sep 14, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford $17.66Sep 13, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$79.43Aug 23, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$38.96Aug 12, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$65.54Jul 12, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,500 on June 20?$198.51Jun 22, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,500 on June 20?$97.27Jun 15, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$145.67May 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$141.09May 11, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 28?$58.94Apr 26, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 25?$69.59Mar 24, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$59.96Mar 4, 19:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $49.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 03:54 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 14:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".