Real-Instrumentalist
0x7484904ef51601844f43e9e254e9ed66e33633ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$40.90
Total PnL
$-410.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
79 shares @ 25.4¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$13.10
$-2.10
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?
32 shares @ 19.1¢·now 25.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.00
$1.88
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Pistons vs. Trail Blazers
273 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Magic vs. Trail Blazers
184 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?
149 shares @ 60.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?
93 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- USA
Gold Cup Final Winner: USA vs. Mexico
71 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2025$0.00
$-29.96
- OREGON
Oregon vs. Indiana
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
40 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$15.35Jun 3, 19:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?$5.04Jun 1, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?$1.22Jun 1, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$20.60Jun 1, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?$40.68Apr 29, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$23.35Apr 28, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$18.04Apr 28, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$17.13Apr 28, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-11.5)$20.30Apr 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$25.56Apr 28, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$25.45Apr 28, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYOregon vs. Indiana$20.00Jan 10, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?$90.00Dec 30, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Trail Blazers$90.00Dec 24, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Trail Blazers$90.00Dec 23, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarlins vs. Cardinals$17.70Jul 29, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles$12.00Jul 29, 17:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $31.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 04:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".