Nippy-Flair
0x7484be88474bc5ee836eb402fa97e141b8d3e5a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$24.39
Total PnL
$-96.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.39
$14.39
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
370 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
AfD banned in 2025?
90 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
60 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
51 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $103K on June 22 at 5PM ET?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
22 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US forces in Iran in 2025?
22 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$10.00Feb 8, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.04Feb 8, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$5.00Feb 8, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.00Feb 8, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$9.20Oct 28, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31?$3.00Oct 25, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$3.65Oct 23, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYAfD banned in 2025?$2.00Oct 23, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 23, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$11.44Oct 23, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$4.00Sep 5, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Sep 5, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Sep 5, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$10.00Aug 27, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?$6.71Aug 4, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?$5.00Aug 2, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$5.00Jun 30, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?$23.82Jun 24, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on June 22 at 5PM ET?$2.60Jun 23, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on June 22 at 5PM ET?$2.00Jun 22, 14:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $8.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 22:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".