Half-Hose
0x74957c832c7a2fe521972fb44e8fe095ae73aebe
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-357.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSPX6900 over $5m by Friday?$197.84Sep 20, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPX6900 over $5m by Friday?$100.00Sep 20, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump mugshot by Sep 1?$285.16Aug 25, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump mugshot by Sep 1?$212.94Aug 15, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Milady flip Azuki by Aug 31?$190.53Aug 15, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Milady flip Azuki by Aug 31?$20.00Aug 15, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden mention aliens by August 31?$54.45Aug 9, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden mention aliens by August 31?$1.00Aug 9, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden mention aliens by August 31?$3.00Aug 8, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden mention aliens by August 31?$1.40Aug 8, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIs the Room-Temp Superconductor real?$465.24Aug 8, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMSuperconductor "Yes" trading between 15¢ and 65¢ EOW?$134.90Aug 7, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIs the Room-Temp Superconductor real?$308.63Aug 3, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIs the Room-Temp Superconductor real?$325.51Aug 1, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYDid SBF launch BALD?$59.76Aug 1, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden mention aliens by August 31?$119.70Aug 1, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIs the Room-Temp Superconductor real?$557.36Jul 29, 18:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $181.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 20, 17:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.