Nervous-Minion
0x7495cc7f3d4396d9dd5d42c09d36b1653b5e02ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$20.00
Total PnL
$-43.81
Realised
$1.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Biden drops out of presidential race?
20 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$20.00
$14.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
530 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2023$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LVIII?
456 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
100 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-4.30
- YES
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
75 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2024$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
56 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2024$0.00
$-5.57
- YES
Will Ramaswamy place 2nd in the 2024 Iowa Caucus?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Trump and Biden debate before Election?
30 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-8.70
- NO
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot?$20.00Mar 6, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$6.00Feb 23, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin all time high by Mar 31?$4.63Feb 22, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Biden debate before Election?$8.70Feb 10, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$5.50Jan 23, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out of presidential race?$5.20Jan 23, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$4.30Jan 23, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the New Hampshire Republican Primary?$22.04Jan 21, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvard get fewer applicants this year?$23.44Jan 18, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the New Hampshire Republican Primary?$20.00Jan 18, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot?$16.00Jan 17, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvard get fewer applicants this year?$5.00Jan 16, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvard get fewer applicants this year?$1.25Jan 11, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by Mar 31?$5.00Jan 10, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek drop out of presidential race before February?$5.00Jan 10, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ramaswamy place 2nd in the 2024 Iowa Caucus?$4.00Jan 10, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LVIII?$5.00Jan 10, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vivek drop out of presidential race in 2023?$25.00Jan 10, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIlya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?$3.69Dec 9, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIlya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?$0.20Dec 9, 06:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $9.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 23:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".