Sane-Wording
0x74a0e15b47f83750ee5f75c67a9b7c977ddd184d
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$3.98
Total PnL
$-0.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$2.89
$0.00
- NO
Will Ezra Cohen be next National Security Advisor?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
218 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$399.60Oct 31, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Oct 25, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.83Oct 25, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.25Oct 25, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$402.49Oct 25, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$399.60Oct 25, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$400.00Oct 25, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal–National Coalition win between 45 and 49 seats?$1.01Oct 25, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicolae Ciucă advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?$1.01Oct 25, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?$1.08Oct 25, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ezra Cohen be next National Security Advisor?$1.00May 3, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?$1.00May 3, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal–National Coalition win between 45 and 49 seats?$1.00May 3, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.94May 3, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.01May 3, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dalton Knecht win NBA Rookie of the Year?$2.01May 3, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?$2.01May 3, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in Assists?$3.10May 3, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?$2.00Mar 28, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolae Ciucă advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?$1.00Mar 28, 03:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $43.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 08:47 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 31, 09:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".