Flawed-Speaking
0x74a660441f7da9527ead949712488e4632c25f51
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$14.32
Total PnL
$-497.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?
14 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$14.32
$0.16
- YES
Will Meta (META) close at $650-$660 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?
739 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-88.65
- YES
Will Amiens SC win on 2026-03-13?
281 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-56.20
- YES
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?
259 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.51
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
251 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-25.56
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 9 above $450?
222 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 9 above $350?
218 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.28
- YES
Will Jason Anavitarte win the GA-14 special election?
208 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.36
- YES
Will The Fate Of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 24?
194 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.75
- NO
Will Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?
191 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-8.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?$14.17Jun 1, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close at $650-$660 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?$88.65Apr 20, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: USL Dunkerque (-1.5)$214.00Apr 14, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMAdelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5$226.00Apr 14, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: USL Dunkerque (-1.5)$158.36Mar 29, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYAdelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5$169.50Mar 28, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 23 above $220?$316.44Mar 28, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 23 above $220?$268.97Mar 23, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close at $560-$570 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$15.43Mar 23, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spezia Calcio (-1.5)$229.00Mar 22, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spezia Calcio (-1.5)$194.65Mar 19, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?$8.42Mar 12, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$25.56Mar 11, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amiens SC win on 2026-03-13?$56.20Mar 7, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Is It Cake? Valentines" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$110.55Feb 28, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Is It Cake? Valentines" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$108.67Feb 19, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on February 17?$102.87Feb 18, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on February 17?$100.92Feb 16, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Anavitarte win the GA-14 special election?$4.36Feb 16, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 9 above $240?$107.74Feb 16, 01:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $74.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 15:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".