Elliptical-Ping
0x74a7081c2311db85a1e9b7176d7dd50a727e5980
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$775.00
Total PnL
$-10.6K
Realised
$-1.5K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
3000 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$450.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
5000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$325.00
$-175.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?
33181 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-600.11
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
27388 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
10026 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.2K
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
7000 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-929.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
5484 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?
4052 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
3301 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-184.65
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
938 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$6.57May 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?$191.38May 23, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?$68.00May 23, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?$68.00May 23, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?$34.00May 23, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?$51.00May 23, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?$85.00May 23, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?$229.01May 23, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?$1.67May 23, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?$30.00May 23, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?$0.80May 23, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?$10.29May 23, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?$0.71May 23, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?$0.20May 23, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?$0.20May 23, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?$0.49May 23, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?$0.48May 23, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?$237.40May 23, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?$1.36May 23, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$0.00Mar 23, 16:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $376.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".