Fatal-Campaigning
0x74acd015cdd8adb72cf0f6ed45eb44be225b0e56
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$5.27
Total PnL
$-126.46
Realised
$-0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$3.70
$1.70
- NO
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
2 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.56
$0.04
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
333 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
33 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$139.85May 27, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$140.01May 27, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$98.27Feb 6, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$100.00Feb 6, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$2.00Feb 6, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$13.86Feb 6, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$135.95Feb 6, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$135.00Jan 25, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$13.00Oct 23, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $120K on July 21?$6.33Oct 23, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $120K on July 21?$5.00Jul 20, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$0.00Jul 20, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?$8.00Jun 25, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$5.68Jun 25, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$36.49Jun 25, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$5.00May 11, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?$0.46May 11, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$61.00Mar 31, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$111.11Mar 31, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$27.00Jan 9, 13:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $118.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 07:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 14:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.