Warped-Shirt
0x74b6a4271ca1e8ec3b8f02d016c0087b266387d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$104.36
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
1376 shares @ 69.1¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$680.89
$-270.11
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1015 shares @ 74.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$593.50
$-157.26
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.42
$0.42
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
1461 shares @ 74.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
263 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-19.97
- NO
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
254 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
233 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-69.29
- YES
Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
170 shares @ 74.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-126.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
144 shares @ 82.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-119.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$280.00Jun 7, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$277.30Jun 7, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$4.99Jun 7, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.22Jun 7, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.16Jun 7, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$1.95Jun 5, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$5.25Jun 5, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$40.70Jun 4, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$10.04Jun 4, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$2.99Jun 4, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$5.06Jun 4, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$15.44Jun 4, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$10.20Jun 4, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$10.23Jun 4, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$5.81Jun 4, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$5.05Jun 4, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$670.00Jun 4, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$1.00Jun 2, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1000.00Jun 2, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 1, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $144.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 01:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.